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Cyclingroad cyclingTour de France

cycling: Tour de France Stage #15 Prediction: A breakaway will do

July 15, 2017 by Michael Behringer

Cycling: Tomorrow is the 15th stage of the Tour de France before the second rest day. This is classified as a hill stage, which is why the escapees should have a good chance. But will the classification drivers also show themselves? Fabio Aru (Astana) has on the today's stage lost his yellow jersey to Chris Froome (Sky). Can he fight back?

Tour de France profile stage

Best chance for breakaways

Tomorrow's stage will cover 189,5 kilometers from Laissac-Sévérac l'Église to Le Puy-en-Velay. After about 20 kilometers, the first mountain of the first category is on the program. After that, flat passages keep coming up to the riders. But at the latest when it goes up the Col de Peyra Taillade, the specialists for the mountains will present themselves in front. The summit of this 8,3-kilometre climb with an average gradient of 7,3 percent is reached 31,5 kilometers from the finish. After that, skills when descending are particularly important. Due to the long distance to the finish, it is not to be expected that there will be gaps at the very top of the overall standings tomorrow. The members of the breakaway group should have the best chance of a stage win.



Tour de France stage profile

Our tip: Lotto Soudal will make a lot of steam tomorrow

We expect a relatively large breakaway group to break away tomorrow. In the peloton it will be difficult to find a team that wants to catch up. Therefore, the escape group has the best chance of arriving at the finish line ahead of the classification drivers. Riders like Steve Cummings (Dimension Data), Philippe Gilbert (Quick-Step Floors) and Diego Ulissi (UAE) are made for stages like this. Team Lotto Soudal is still waiting for sprinter André Greipel to win. So it's up to the outliers to fix it. For tomorrow they have some candidates in the team: Tim Wells, Thomas De Gendt and Tony Gallopin can be expected to be successful in any case. However, we will choose a driver for tomorrow who is a little less well-known. Tiesj Benoot has already proven itself in one-day classics this year. Now he also surprises with strong performances in the Tour de France. If Lotto Soudal sends two or three men into the group tomorrow, the young Belgian will definitely be there.

*** Tiesj Benoot
** Diego Ulissi, Tony Gallopin
* Steve Cummings, Philippe Gilbert, Tim Wellens



Tiesj Benoot Tour de France
Tiesj Benoot (right) can already compete with classic greats like Peter Sagan and Greg Van Avermaet.

Tour de France preview: Those were the Velomotion predictions

StageRoutestage winnerVelomotion tip
1st stageDüsseldorfGeraint Thomas (Sky)Tony Martin (Katusha Alpecin)
2st stageDusseldorf – LiègeMarcel Kittel (Quick-Step Floors)Marcel Kittel (Quick-Step Floors)
3st stageVerviers-LongwyPeter Sagan (Bora-hansgrohe)Peter Sagan (Bora-hansgrohe)
4st stageMondorf-les-Bains-VittelArnaud Demare (FDJ)Arnaud Demare (FDJ)
5st stageVittel-La Planche des Belles FillesFabio Aru (Astana)Fabio Aru (Astana)
6st stageVesoul-TroyesMarcel Kittel (Quick-Step Floors)Marcel Kittel (Quick-Step Floors)
7st stageTroyes - Nuits Saint GeorgesMarcel Kittel (Quick-Step Floors)Marcel Kittel (Quick-Step Floors)
8st stageDole - Station des RoussesLilian Calmejane (Direct Energy)Diego Ulissi (UAE)
9st stageNantua-ChamberyRigoberto Uran (Cannondale-Drapac)Chris FroomeSky
10st stagePerigueux-BergeracMarcel Kittel (Quick-Step Floors)Marcel Kittel (Quick-Step Floors)
11st stageEymet-PauMarcel Kittel (Quick-Step Floors)Marcel Kittel (Quick-Step Floors)
12st stagePau-PeyragudesRomain Bardet (Ag2r)Guillaume Martin (Wanty Groupe Gobert)
13st stageSaint Girons - FoixWarren Barguil (Sunweb)Simon Yates (Orica Scott)
14st stageBlagnac-RodezMichael Matthews (Sunweb)Daniel Martin (Quick Step Floors)
15st stageLaissac-Sévérac l'Église - Le Puy-en-VelayBauke Mollema (Trek Segafredo)Tiesj Benoot (Lotto Soudal)
16st stageLe Puy-en-Velay – Romans-sur-IsereMichael Matthews (Sunweb)Marcel Kittel (Quick-Step Floors)
17st stageLa Mure - Serre ChevalierPrimoz Roglic (LottoNL-Jumbo)Simon Yates (Orica Scott)
18st stageBriançon-IzoardWarren Barguil (Sunweb)Chris FroomeSky
19st stageEmbrun-Salon de ProvenceEdvald Boasson Hagen (Dimension Data)Edvald Boasson Hagen (Dimension Data)
20st stageMarseilleMaciej Bodnar (Bora-hansgrohe)Chris FroomeSky

21st stage
Montgeron – Paris/Champs-ElyséesAndré Greipel (Lotto Soudal)

The current overall ranking of the 2017 Tour de France after 14 of 21 stages

PLATZDriverCountryTeamTime
1.Chris FroomeGreat BritainSky59:52:09
2.Fabio ArauItalyAstana+ 0: 19
3.Romain BardetFranceAg2r+ 0: 23
4.Rigoberto UránColombiaCannondale Drapac+ 0: 29
5.Mikel LandaSpainSky+ 1: 17
6.Daniel MartinIrelandQuick Step Floors+ 1: 26
7.Simon yatesGreat BritainOrica Scott+ 2: 02
8.Nairo QuintanaColombiaMovistar+ 2: 22
9.louis meintjesSouth AfricaUAE+ 5: 09
10.Alberto counterSpainTrek-Segafredo+ 5: 37


Tags:needLotto SoudalNewsa prognosticTour de FrancePreview

More than Michael Behringer

Cycling with all its tactics, stage analyses, placements and forecasts are Michael Behringer's great passion. In 1996 he tracked his first Tour de France. Since then he has observed almost every race. His passion for cycling has been with him for over two decades. There is no end in sight.

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